Final Score: Pirates 5 - Astros 9
Sunday, July 29, 2012 at 2:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
58-42 Rating 1481
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.7
Astros
34-68 Rating 1392
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 274 293
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 100 102
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.7 5.0
Win percentage 58% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 47%