Final Score: Pirates 6 - Astros 5
Friday, July 27, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
56-42 Rating 1477
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.6
Astros
34-66 Rating 1396
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 272 293
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 98 100
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.7 5.0
Win percentage 57% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 49%