Final Score: Reds 4 - Padres 2
Sunday, July 8, 2012 at 4:05 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
46-38 Rating 1503
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.3
Padres
34-52 Rating 1455
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 318 263
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 84 86
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.5
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.4
Win percentage 55% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 40%