Final Score: Reds 1 - Padres 2
Thursday, July 5, 2012 at 10:05 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
44-37 Rating 1501
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.2
Padres
33-50 Rating 1457
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 316 262
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 81 83
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.6
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.4
Win percentage 54% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 40%