Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Orioles 6
Monday, September 26, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
89-70 Rating 1549
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Orioles
67-92 Rating 1460
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 361 277
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.3
Win percentage 56% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 47%