Final Score: Blue Jays 5 - Orioles 4
Friday, August 5, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
56-55 Rating 1522
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.5
Orioles
43-65 Rating 1444
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Orioles
All-time wins 269 228
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 8 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Orioles
Games played 111 108
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.3
Win percentage 50% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 48%