Final Score: Cubs 4 - Nationals 5
Monday, July 4, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
35-50 Rating 1465
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Nationals
42-43 Rating 1455
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Nationals
All-time wins 269 288
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Nationals
Games played 85 85
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.9 3.9
Win percentage 41% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 62%