Final Score: Pirates 5 - Reds 3
Thursday, May 19, 2011 at 12:35 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
19-23 Rating 1411
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +1.3
Reds
25-18 Rating 1509
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 264 309
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 42 43
Avg runs scored 3.6 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.4
Win percentage 45% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 60%