Final Score: Blue Jays 3 - Rays 2
Wednesday, May 4, 2011 at 6:40 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
13-16 Rating 1517
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.5
Rays
16-13 Rating 1548
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Rays
All-time wins 112 113
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 4.7
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Rays
Games played 29 29
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.7
Win percentage 45% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 47%