Final Score: Red Sox 9 - Orioles 12
Saturday, May 1, 2010 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
11-12 Rating 1553
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.0
Orioles
5-18 Rating 1428
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 345 264
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 23 23
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.3
Avg runs conceded 5.2 5.1
Win percentage 48% 22%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 20%