Final Score: Cubs 6 - Cardinals 3
Sunday, September 20, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
75-72 Rating 1508
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.5
Cardinals
87-62 Rating 1533
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 334 337
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 147 149
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.9
Win percentage 51% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 60%