Final Score: Yankees 11 - Rays 4
Monday, July 27, 2009 at 7:08 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
60-38 Rating 1574
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.2
Rays
54-45 Rating 1536
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 126 66
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.8 4.2
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 98 99
Avg runs scored 5.5 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 61% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 67%