Final Score: Phillies 7 - Nationals 5
Saturday, May 16, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
18-16 Rating 1544
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Nationals
12-23 Rating 1424
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 355 326
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 8 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 34 35
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.2
Avg runs conceded 5.4 6.3
Win percentage 53% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 40%