Final Score: Yankees 3 - Red Sox 4
Sunday, September 28, 2008 at 7:35 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
89-72 Rating 1563
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Red Sox
94-67 Rating 1571
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 312 301
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.3
Win percentage 55% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 69%