Final Score: Phillies 5 - Marlins 2
Sunday, September 21, 2008 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
87-68 Rating 1541
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Marlins
81-73 Rating 1495
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 131 117
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.3 4.8
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 155 154
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.8
Win percentage 56% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 56%