Final Score: Cubs 4 - Cardinals 5
Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 3:55 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
52-35 Rating 1514
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.2
Cardinals
49-39 Rating 1510
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 322 323
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 87 88
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.4
Win percentage 60% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 56%