Final Score: Cubs 2 - Cardinals 1
Friday, July 4, 2008 at 8:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
51-35 Rating 1512
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.2
Cardinals
49-38 Rating 1512
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 321 323
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 86 87
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.4
Win percentage 59% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 57%