Final Score: Yankees 9 - Orioles 10
Friday, September 28, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
92-67 Rating 1573
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.9
Orioles
68-91 Rating 1453
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Orioles
All-time wins 323 256
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Orioles
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 5.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.3
Win percentage 58% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 44%