Final Score: Pirates 3 - Padres 5
Wednesday, September 19, 2007 at 10:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
66-85 Rating 1447
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.0
Padres
83-67 Rating 1523
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 229 180
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 151 150
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.0
Win percentage 44% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 59%