Final Score: Astros 3 - Padres 5
Sunday, August 19, 2007 at 4:05 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
56-67 Rating 1493
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
65-57 Rating 1510
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 293 265
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 123 122
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.0 3.9
Win percentage 46% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 54%