Final Score: Astros 3 - Padres 2
Saturday, August 18, 2007 at 10:05 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
55-67 Rating 1491
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
65-56 Rating 1512
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 292 265
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 122 121
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 5.0 3.9
Win percentage 45% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 55%