Final Score: Phillies 11 - Pirates 8
Friday, August 17, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
64-56 Rating 1530
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Pirates
50-69 Rating 1439
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 263 282
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 120 119
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 5.1
Win percentage 53% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 44%