Final Score: Phillies 3 - Nationals 2
Tuesday, August 14, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
62-55 Rating 1528
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Nationals
54-64 Rating 1473
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 331 315
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 117 118
Avg runs scored 5.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.7
Win percentage 53% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 51%