Final Score: Reds 3 - Nationals 6
Tuesday, July 31, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
45-61 Rating 1461
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.2
Nationals
45-60 Rating 1462
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Nationals
All-time wins 220 183
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Nationals
Games played 106 105
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.8
Win percentage 42% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 45%