Final Score: Orioles 5 - Red Sox 3
Tuesday, July 31, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Orioles @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
49-55 Rating 1473
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.1
Red Sox
64-41 Rating 1555
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Red Sox
All-time wins 249 307
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.8
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Red Sox
Games played 104 105
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.0
Win percentage 47% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 64%