Final Score: Yankees 7 - Rays 6
Sunday, July 15, 2007 at 1:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
45-44 Rating 1549
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +1.0
Rays
35-55 Rating 1424
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 104 51
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.8 4.0
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 89 90
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.6 6.2
Win percentage 51% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 43%