Final Score: Pirates 7 - Marlins 9
Thursday, June 28, 2007 at 12:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
33-44 Rating 1446
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.7
Marlins
36-42 Rating 1489
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Marlins
All-time wins 69 56
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Marlins
Games played 77 78
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.9 5.1
Win percentage 43% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 39%