Final Score: Blue Jays 3 - Phillies 5
Friday, May 18, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
18-22 Rating 1502
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
20-21 Rating 1522
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Phillies
All-time wins 13 11
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.4 4.9
Last meeting 6 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Phillies
Games played 40 41
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.7
Win percentage 45% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 55%