Final Score: Orioles 5 - Nationals 4
Friday, May 18, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Orioles @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
18-23 Rating 1463
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.2
Nationals
15-26 Rating 1459
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Nationals
All-time wins 9 12
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.5 3.9
Last meeting 5 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Nationals
Games played 41 41
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.2
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.7
Win percentage 44% 37%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 48%