Final Score: Nationals 3 - Cubs 5
Saturday, May 5, 2007 at 1:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
9-20 Rating 1457
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Cubs
13-14 Rating 1464
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Cubs
All-time wins 280 252
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Cubs
Games played 29 27
Avg runs scored 3.0 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.2 3.8
Win percentage 31% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 36%