Final Score: Reds 5 - Astros 7
Thursday, May 3, 2007 at 8:05 PM ET

Reds @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
13-14 Rating 1475
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Astros
11-15 Rating 1506
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Astros
All-time wins 316 309
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Astros
Games played 27 26
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.5
Win percentage 48% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 38%