Final Score: Astros 7 - Pirates 4
Tuesday, September 26, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
78-78 Rating 1516
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Pirates
65-91 Rating 1447
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 248 227
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 13 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.0
Win percentage 50% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 55%