Final Score: Phillies 5 - Nationals 6
Thursday, August 31, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
67-65 Rating 1523
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Nationals
55-77 Rating 1461
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 325 309
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 132 132
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.2 5.4
Win percentage 51% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 48%