Final Score: Red Sox 12 - Rays 5
Thursday, July 6, 2006 at 7:15 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
50-32 Rating 1574
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Rays
38-47 Rating 1458
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 95 50
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.8 4.1
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 82 85
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.1
Win percentage 61% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 55%