Final Score: Nationals 4 - Reds 5
Thursday, May 11, 2006 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
12-22 Rating 1473
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.4
Reds
22-12 Rating 1491
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Reds
All-time wins 180 218
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.6
Last meeting 6 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Reds
Games played 34 34
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.5
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.0
Win percentage 35% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 69%