Final Score: Maple Leafs 5 - Senators 4
Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Senators

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
41-27 Rating 1561
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.2
Senators
33-35 Rating 1478
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Senators
All-time wins 81 78
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.9 2.9
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Senators
Games played 68 68
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.1
Avg goals conceded 2.7 3.3
Win percentage 60% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 56%