Final Score: Lightning 5 - Senators 4
Thursday, March 20, 2014 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Senators

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
38-31 Rating 1494
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Ottawa Senators +0.2
Senators
28-40 Rating 1468
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Senators
All-time wins 30 53
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.6 3.6
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Senators
Games played 69 68
Avg goals scored 2.9 2.9
Avg goals conceded 2.6 3.4
Win percentage 55% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 39%