Final Score: Flames 4 - Lightning 5
Thursday, December 15, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Flames @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Flames
14-16 Rating 1496
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4
Lightning
12-18 Rating 1489
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Flames Lightning
All-time wins 15 16
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.1 2.8
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Flames Lightning
Games played 30 30
Avg goals scored 2.5 2.6
Avg goals conceded 2.7 3.4
Win percentage 47% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 58%