Final Score: Senators 2 - Lightning 1
Friday, March 11, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Senators @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Senators
24-43 Rating 1444
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.9
Lightning
38-29 Rating 1496
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Senators Lightning
All-time wins 45 25
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.7 2.5
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Senators Lightning
Games played 67 67
Avg goals scored 2.3 3.0
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.0
Win percentage 36% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 63%