Final Score: Senators 5 - Lightning 4
Monday, March 29, 2004 at 7:00 PM ET

Senators @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Senators
40-28-10 Rating 1555
Form: WLLWT
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4
Lightning
45-26-8 Rating 1549
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Senators Lightning
All-time wins 27 16
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.6 2.6
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Senators Lightning
Games played 78 79
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.0
Avg goals conceded 2.2 2.3
Win percentage 51% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 61%