Final Score: Patriots 18 - Broncos 20
Sunday, January 24, 2016 at 3:05 PM ET

Patriots @ Broncos

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
13-4 Rating 1725
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Denver Broncos +2.7
Broncos
13-4 Rating 1707
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Broncos
All-time wins 11 21
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 21.3 24.7
Last meeting 24 30

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Broncos
Games played 17 17
Avg points scored 28.9 22.2
Avg points conceded 19.7 18.4
Win percentage 76% 76%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 78%