Final Score: Colts 22 - Patriots 43
Saturday, January 11, 2014 at 8:15 PM ET

Colts @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Colts
12-5 Rating 1570
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
24%
76%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +8.5
Patriots
12-4 Rating 1742
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Colts Patriots
All-time wins 29 47
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 18.9 24.2
Last meeting 24 59

Key Season Stats

Stat Colts Patriots
Games played 17 16
Avg points scored 25.6 27.8
Avg points conceded 22.4 21.1
Win percentage 71% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 100%