Final Score: Falcons 23 - Lions 16
Sunday, October 23, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Falcons @ Lions

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Falcons
3-3 Rating 1573
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Atlanta Falcons +0.3
Lions
5-1 Rating 1488
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Falcons Lions
All-time wins 10 19
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 21.7 22.2
Last meeting 34 21

Key Season Stats

Stat Falcons Lions
Games played 6 6
Avg points scored 22.5 29.7
Avg points conceded 24.5 19.0
Win percentage 50% 83%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 67%