Final Score: Colts 17 - Chargers 23
Saturday, January 3, 2009 at 8:08 PM ET

Colts @ Chargers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Colts
12-4 Rating 1742
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Indianapolis Colts +0.7
Chargers
8-8 Rating 1631
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Colts Chargers
All-time wins 10 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 18.4 23.5
Last meeting 23 20

Key Season Stats

Stat Colts Chargers
Games played 16 16
Avg points scored 23.6 27.4
Avg points conceded 18.6 21.7
Win percentage 75% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 75% 62%