Final Score: Colts 3 - Patriots 20
Sunday, January 16, 2005 at 4:45 PM ET

Colts @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Colts
13-4 Rating 1731
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +5.0
Patriots
14-2 Rating 1818
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Colts Patriots
All-time wins 24 42
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average points 17.9 23.5
Last meeting 24 27

Key Season Stats

Stat Colts Patriots
Games played 17 16
Avg points scored 33.6 27.3
Avg points conceded 22.1 16.2
Win percentage 76% 88%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 100%