Final Score: Colts 14 - Patriots 24
Sunday, January 18, 2004 at 3:06 PM ET

Colts @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Colts
14-4 Rating 1671
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +5.1
Patriots
15-2 Rating 1753
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Colts Patriots
All-time wins 24 40
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 17.8 23.4
Last meeting 34 38

Key Season Stats

Stat Colts Patriots
Games played 18 17
Avg points scored 29.2 21.5
Avg points conceded 20.9 14.8
Win percentage 78% 88%
Away win % / Home win % 89% 100%