Final Score: Thunder 107 - Nuggets 127
Friday, April 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET

Thunder @ Nuggets

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Thunder
64-16 Rating 1969
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
64%
36%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +1.6
Nuggets
52-28 Rating 1713
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Nuggets
All-time wins 126 108
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 109.3 107.4
Last meeting 129 126

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Nuggets
Games played 80 80
Avg points scored 119.4 121.9
Avg points conceded 107.3 117.0
Win percentage 80% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 77% 68%