Final Score: Bucks 121 - Heat 115
Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Bucks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Bucks
42-34 Rating 1578
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +1.6
Heat
35-42 Rating 1483
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bucks Heat
All-time wins 62 88
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 100.6 101.9
Last meeting 120 113

Key Season Stats

Stat Bucks Heat
Games played 76 77
Avg points scored 114.9 109.8
Avg points conceded 112.9 109.8
Win percentage 55% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 47%