Final Score: Mavericks 122 - Heat 129
Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
37-40 Rating 1436
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +5.0
Heat
40-37 Rating 1487
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 41 43
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 99.0 99.6
Last meeting 115 90

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 77 77
Avg points scored 113.8 108.7
Avg points conceded 113.3 109.8
Win percentage 48% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 64%