Final Score: Heat 75 - Pacers 94
Thursday, May 17, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Pacers

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
51-22 Rating 1738
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Indiana Pacers +3.0
Pacers
47-26 Rating 1681
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Pacers
All-time wins 40 56
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 94.9 97.4
Last meeting 75 78

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Pacers
Games played 73 73
Avg points scored 98.0 97.1
Avg points conceded 91.5 93.4
Win percentage 70% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 69%